Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Wells vs Joey Villasenor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record29-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremiah WellsNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Joey VillasenorNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3.06
Takedown avg.
TBD
3%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeremiah WellsJoey Villasenor
170017502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
18 (62%)
4 (31%)
Submission
5 (17%)
4 (31%)
Decision
6 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremiah Wells70%
Joey Villasenor 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 70% favorite over Joey Villasenor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joey Villasenor's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1690), separated by just 2 points.

Jeremiah Wells finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Joey Villasenor 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.