Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Wells vs Meng Ding

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Meng Ding
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Meng Ding

“Ruthless Assassin”

35-10-0WelterweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record35-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
74"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamBlack Tiger Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremiah WellsNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Meng DingNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
48%
Strike defense
49%
3.06
Takedown avg.
1
3%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeremiah WellsMeng Ding
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
28 (80%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (6%)
4 (31%)
Decision
5 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Meng Ding52%
Jeremiah Wells 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 52% favorite over Jeremiah Wells in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Wells's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.

Meng Ding enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeremiah Wells finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.