Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Wells vs Sultan Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record15-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
74"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremiah WellsNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Sultan AlievNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
48%
Strike defense
57%
3.06
Takedown avg.
1.76
3%
Takedown accuracy
38%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
1.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeremiah WellsSultan Aliev
1700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremiah Wells56%
Sultan Aliev 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 56% favorite over Sultan Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sultan Aliev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1690), separated by just 2 points.

Jeremiah Wells finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Sultan Aliev 67%.

Jeremiah Wells and Sultan Aliev share 1 common opponent: Warlley Alves.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2021
Warlley Alves
LossKO/TKO · 2018