Jeremy Stephens vs Rick Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Rick Davis
Elo1548AverageTale of the tape
29-23-0Record3-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMATeamLas Vegas Combat Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensRick Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rick Davis52%
Jeremy Stephens 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rick Davis a 52% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Stephens's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1548), separated by just 3 points.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rick Davis 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.