Jerome Rivera vs Jordan Molinari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'4"
41,0"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Destroya MMATeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jerome RiveraJordan Molinari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Molinari62%
Jerome Rivera 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 62% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jerome Rivera's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1554), separated by just 4 points.
Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jerome Rivera finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Molinari 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.