Jessamyn Duke vs Marilia Morais
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-5-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73,0"ReachN/A
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
UWF USATeamRasthai Temple
What's at stake
Marilia Morais is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jessamyn Duke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1490
If they lose-20→ 1442
If they win+20→ 1542
If they lose-28→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessamyn DukeMarilia Morais
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marilia Morais66%
Jessamyn Duke 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Marilia Morais a 66% favorite over Jessamyn Duke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Marilia Morais holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1462, a 60-point edge.
Jessamyn Duke enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marilia Morais enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jessamyn Duke finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marilia Morais 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.