Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Butler vs Liam Gittins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Liam Gittins

Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record13-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
40,0"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse ButlerNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Liam GittinsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesse ButlerLiam Gittins
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
8 (67%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (25%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Gittins61%
Jesse Butler 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Gittins a 61% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Butler's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.

Jesse Butler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesse Butler finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Liam Gittins 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.