Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Lennox vs Justin Burlinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach41,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamThe Dungeon BJJ and MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse LennoxNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Justin BurlinsonNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.24
32%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.09
65%
Strike defense
62%
1.22
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
100%
0.31
Submission avg.
9.28

Trajectory

Jesse LennoxJustin Burlinson
1600165020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
6 (43%)
Submission
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Burlinson53%
Jesse Lennox 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 53% favorite over Jesse Lennox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Jesse Lennox enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jesse Lennox finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Burlinson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.