Jesse Murray vs Joachim Christensen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach43,0"
206 lbsWeight204 lbs
Strongstyle MMATeamArte Suave Copenhagen
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1565
If they lose-17→ 1533
If they win+12→ 1548
If they lose-12→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse MurrayJoachim Christensen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesse Murray53%
Joachim Christensen 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Murray a 53% favorite over Joachim Christensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1536), separated by just 14 points.
Jesse Murray finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Joachim Christensen 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.