Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Murray vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jesse Murray
us

Jesse Murray

“Hollywood”

10-6-0Light HeavyweightAFP

1550Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record12-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight206 lbs
Strongstyle MMATeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse MurrayNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
Maurice SmithNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
29%
Strike accuracy
47%
7.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
43%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Jesse MurrayMaurice Smith
15502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesse Murray53%
Maurice Smith 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Murray a 53% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1545), separated by just 5 points.

Jesse Murray finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.