Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Murray vs Rex Holman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Murray
us

Jesse Murray

“Hollywood”

10-6-0Light HeavyweightAFP

1550Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Strongstyle MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse MurrayNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
Rex HolmanNow 1541
If they win+25→ 1566
If they lose-23→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1472 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
29%
Strike accuracy
34%
7.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.25
43%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jesse MurrayRex Holman
1500155020062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
4 (40%)
Submission
1 (25%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jesse Murray and Rex Holman within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1541), separated by just 9 points.

Rex Holman enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jesse Murray finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Rex Holman 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.