Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Ronson vs Kai Kamaka III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Ronson
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Jesse Ronson

“The Body Snatcher”

28-12-0WelterweightBTC

1671Good
Kai Kamaka III
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Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1670Good

Tale of the tape

28-12-0Record18-7-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse RonsonNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659
Kai Kamaka IIINow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
48%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.46
Takedown avg.
1.51
29%
Takedown accuracy
54%
57%
Takedown defense
55%
0.46
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Jesse RonsonKai Kamaka III
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (46%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
11 (39%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (14%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kamaka III66%
Jesse Ronson 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kamaka III a 66% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Ronson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Kai Kamaka III enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jesse Ronson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kamaka III 22%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.