Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Strader vs Mana Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Kemo's Fight FactoryTeamGlory MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse StraderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Mana MartinezNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.94
47%
Strike defense
50%
3.87
Takedown avg.
0.72
57%
Takedown accuracy
43%
100%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Jesse StraderMana Martinez
15501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesse Strader52%
Mana Martinez 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Strader a 52% favorite over Mana Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mana Martinez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1578), separated by just 2 points.

Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jesse Strader finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mana Martinez 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.