Jesse Strader vs Nick Aguirre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kemo's Fight FactoryTeamValle Flow Striking
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse StraderNick Aguirre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Aguirre51%
Jesse Strader 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Aguirre a 51% favorite over Jesse Strader in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Strader's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.
Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jesse Strader finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nick Aguirre 100%.
Nick Aguirre carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.