Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Strader vs Reuben Duran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Reuben Duran
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Reuben Duran

“Hurricane”

13-7-1BantamweightKOTC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record13-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kemo's Fight FactoryTeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse StraderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Reuben DuranNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
47%
Strike defense
51%
3.87
Takedown avg.
0.98
57%
Takedown accuracy
23%
100%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Jesse StraderReuben Duran
15501600201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
1 (14%)
Submission
5 (38%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesse Strader56%
Reuben Duran 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Strader a 56% favorite over Reuben Duran in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reuben Duran's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1580), separated by just 4 points.

Reuben Duran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jesse Strader finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Reuben Duran 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.