Jessin Ayari vs Lance Gibson Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73,5"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hammers TeamTeamGibson Kickboxing & Pankration
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessin AyariLance Gibson Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Gibson Jr.66%
Jessin Ayari 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Gibson Jr. a 66% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jessin Ayari finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Lance Gibson Jr. 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.