Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Pinedo vs Nazareno Malegarie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-1Record29-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesus PinedoNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Nazareno MalegarieNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
38%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
53%
Strike defense
70%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jesus PinedoNazareno Malegarie
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (64%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
4 (16%)
Submission
17 (59%)
5 (20%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesus Pinedo70%
Nazareno Malegarie 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Pinedo a 70% favorite over Nazareno Malegarie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1717), separated by just 3 points.

Jesus Pinedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesus Pinedo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nazareno Malegarie 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.