Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Pinedo vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-1Record11-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamKaizen MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesus PinedoNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Nurullo AlievNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
38%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
53%
Strike defense
58%
2.50
Takedown avg.
2.12
100%
Takedown accuracy
19%
100%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Jesus PinedoNurullo Aliev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (64%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (16%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (20%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jesus Pinedo and Nurullo Aliev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1715), separated by just 5 points.

Jesus Pinedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jesus Pinedo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 18%.

Jesus Pinedo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.