Jimmy Flick vs Justin Scoggins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Thunderkick FitnessTeamRevolution Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy FlickJustin Scoggins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Scoggins55%
Jimmy Flick 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Scoggins a 55% favorite over Jimmy Flick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jimmy Flick's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1619), separated by just 6 points.
Jimmy Flick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jimmy Flick finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Justin Scoggins 60%.
Jimmy Flick carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.