Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmy Lawson vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,5"
265 lbsWeight253 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jimmy LawsonNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.07
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
8%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
44%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
3.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Jimmy LawsonLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
15001550202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jimmy Lawson62%
Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Lawson a 62% favorite over Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1549), separated by just 7 points.

Jimmy Lawson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.