Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingliang Li vs Jorge Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record25-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
71" ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamBlackzilians

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jingliang LiNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Jorge SantiagoNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
42%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.19
Takedown avg.
0.58
42%
Takedown accuracy
30%
60%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Jingliang LiJorge Santiago
1700175020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (40%)
4 (21%)
Submission
13 (52%)
5 (26%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Jingliang Li61%
Jorge Santiago 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jingliang Li a 61% favorite over Jorge Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jorge Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Santiago 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.