Combat Edge Intelligence

Joachim Hansen vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-14-1Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
357 MMATeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joachim HansenNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Joachim HansenYancy Medeiros
1600165020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
8 (35%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (35%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yancy Medeiros60%
Joachim Hansen 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Yancy Medeiros a 60% favorite over Joachim Hansen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joachim Hansen's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1610), separated by just 4 points.

Joachim Hansen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joachim Hansen finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.