Combat Edge Intelligence

Joao Roque vs John Teixeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-4Record27-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joao RoqueNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
John TeixeiraNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Joao RoqueJohn Teixeira
1600165020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (30%)
5 (71%)
Submission
10 (37%)
2 (29%)
Decision
9 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joao Roque53%
John Teixeira 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joao Roque a 53% favorite over John Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

John Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joao Roque finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, John Teixeira 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.