Combat Edge Intelligence

Joao Roque vs Vyacheslav Svischev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-4Record15-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamErmak Sports Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joao RoqueNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Vyacheslav SvischevNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joao RoqueVyacheslav Svischev
16001650200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
5 (71%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Vyacheslav Svischev62%
Joao Roque 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vyacheslav Svischev a 62% favorite over Joao Roque in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joao Roque's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1611), separated by just 0 points.

Joao Roque finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vyacheslav Svischev 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.