Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Noah Gugnon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBulgarian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Noah GugnonNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.39
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaNoah Gugnon
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
3 (21%)
Submission
3 (33%)
4 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Noah Gugnon60%
Joaquim Silva 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gugnon a 60% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joaquim Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.

Noah Gugnon enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.