Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquin Buckley vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'6"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
37%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.54
Takedown avg.
3.94
45%
Takedown accuracy
36%
72%
Takedown defense
48%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Joaquin BuckleyMichel Prazeres
17001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (41%)
6 (29%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquin Buckley71%
Michel Prazeres 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 71% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1755), separated by just 0 points.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.