Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Cason vs Paul Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
223 lbsWeight246 lbs
TBDTeamTFT MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe CasonNow 1602
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe CasonPaul Elliott
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Elliott70%
Joe Cason 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 70% favorite over Joe Cason in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1607), separated by just 5 points.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Joe Cason finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.