Joe Duffy vs Kaiwen Li
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73.00ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamK-1 Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe DuffyKaiwen Li
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kaiwen Li59%
Joe Duffy 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 59% favorite over Joe Duffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1564), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kaiwen Li enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kaiwen Li 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.