Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Duffy vs Kevin Robledo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Duffy
ie

Joe Duffy

“Irish Joe”

16-5-0LightweightUFC

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5′6″
73.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe DuffyNow 1563
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539
Kevin RobledoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.96
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.72
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe DuffyKevin Robledo
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
10 (63%)
Submission
3 (50%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Robledo60%
Joe Duffy 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Robledo a 60% favorite over Joe Duffy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Duffy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1559), separated by just 4 points.

Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Duffy finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Robledo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.