Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Moriera vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
235 lbsWeight262 lbs
Team Joe MorieraTeamCM System

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Moriera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe MorieraNow 1477
If they win+27→ 1504
If they lose-21→ 1456
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe MorieraMatheus Scheffel
15001550160019971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel52%
Joe Moriera 48%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 52% favorite over Joe Moriera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1477, a 44-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.