Joe Moriera vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
235 lbsWeight242 lbs
Team Joe MorieraTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joe Moriera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1505
If they lose-20→ 1457
If they win+14→ 1543
If they lose-18→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe MorieraPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani66%
Joe Moriera 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 66% favorite over Joe Moriera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1477, a 52-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.