Joe Schilling vs Juan Mott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record3-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamJuan Mott Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Juan Mott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingJuan Mott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling54%
Juan Mott 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 54% favorite over Juan Mott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Mott's way (48%).
Juan Mott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1462, a 16-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Juan Mott 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.