Joe Schilling vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76"Reach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440
If they win+14→ 1511
If they lose-18→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson54%
Joe Schilling 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 54% favorite over Joe Schilling in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1462, a 35-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.