Joe Schilling vs Kazuhiro Hamanaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record5-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'7"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamLaughter7
What's at stake
Kazuhiro Hamanaka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439
If they win+15→ 1492
If they lose-17→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingKazuhiro Hamanaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling54%
Kazuhiro Hamanaka 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 54% favorite over Kazuhiro Hamanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kazuhiro Hamanaka's way (48%).
Kazuhiro Hamanaka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1477 to 1462, a 15-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kazuhiro Hamanaka 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.