Joe Schilling vs Lee Brousseau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record5-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamThe Hit Squad
What's at stake
Lee Brousseau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440
If they win+22→ 1509
If they lose-26→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingLee Brousseau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling60%
Lee Brousseau 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 60% favorite over Lee Brousseau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lee Brousseau's way (46%).
Lee Brousseau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1487 to 1462, a 25-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lee Brousseau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lee Brousseau 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.