Joe Schilling vs Luis Henrique
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record16-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76"Reach42.50
205 lbsWeight253 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Luis Henrique is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingLuis Henrique
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling56%
Luis Henrique 44%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 56% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Henrique's way (47%).
Luis Henrique holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1483 to 1462, a 21-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.