Joe Schilling vs Matt Van Buren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamTeam Gutter
What's at stake
Matt Van Buren is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440
If they win+15→ 1508
If they lose-17→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingMatt Van Buren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Van Buren53%
Joe Schilling 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Van Buren a 53% favorite over Joe Schilling in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Matt Van Buren holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1462, a 31-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Van Buren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matt Van Buren 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.