Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Solecki vs Magomed Zaynukov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym-OTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe SoleckiNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Magomed ZaynukovNow 1666
If they win+24→ 1690
If they lose-24→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.98
Sig. strikes / min
15.67
57%
Strike accuracy
61%
1.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.80
48%
Strike defense
58%
2.23
Takedown avg.
2
47%
Takedown accuracy
0%
20%
Takedown defense
0%
1.43
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe SoleckiMagomed Zaynukov
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
9 (69%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Zaynukov60%
Joe Solecki 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Zaynukov a 60% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Solecki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Magomed Zaynukov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Joe Solecki finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Zaynukov 63%.

Joe Solecki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.