Joe Solecki vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym-OTeamMarathon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SoleckiTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Solecki59%
Trey Ogden 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Solecki a 59% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Solecki finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Trey Ogden carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.