Joe Wilk vs Roberto Mario Ionescu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-0Record3-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combative Sports CenterTeamCircus Arena
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe WilkRoberto Mario Ionescu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roberto Mario Ionescu60%
Joe Wilk 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Mario Ionescu a 60% favorite over Joe Wilk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Wilk's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1524), separated by just 4 points.
Joe Wilk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Wilk finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Mario Ionescu 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.