Joey Gilbert vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-1Record14-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gilbert GrapplingTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448
If they win+17→ 1476
If they lose-15→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey GilbertLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte78%
Joey Gilbert 22%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 78% favorite over Joey Gilbert in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joey Gilbert's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1459), separated by just 14 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.