Combat Edge Intelligence

John Alessio vs Kenneth Cross

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Alessio
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John Alessio

“The Natural”

35-17-0LightweightBFC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

35-17-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AlessioNow 1665
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
Kenneth CrossNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.10
Sig. strikes / min
2.20
39%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.85
Takedown avg.
1
38%
Takedown accuracy
13%
71%
Takedown defense
67%
1.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John AlessioKenneth Cross
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
15 (45%)
Submission
5 (29%)
8 (24%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenneth Cross71%
John Alessio 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenneth Cross a 71% favorite over John Alessio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Alessio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1665), separated by just 0 points.

John Alessio finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Kenneth Cross 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.