John Allan vs Justin Ledet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John AllanJustin Ledet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Allan51%
Justin Ledet 49%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes John Allan a 51% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1602), separated by just 7 points.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Justin Ledet 78%.
John Allan and Justin Ledet share 1 common opponent: Dustin Jacoby.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.