John Allan vs Patrick Cummins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John AllanPatrick Cummins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Allan56%
Patrick Cummins 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes John Allan a 56% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1602), separated by just 7 points.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.