Combat Edge Intelligence

John Allan vs Seth Petruzelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Allan
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John Allan

“The Hunter”

18-9-0Light Heavyweight

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AllanNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Seth PetruzelliNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
43%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.40
Takedown avg.
0.46
71%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
48%
0.84
Submission avg.
2.31

Trajectory

John AllanSeth Petruzelli
15501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

13 (72%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
4 (22%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

John Allan55%
Seth Petruzelli 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes John Allan a 55% favorite over Seth Petruzelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1600), separated by just 9 points.

John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Seth Petruzelli 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.