Combat Edge Intelligence

John Garza vs Marcos Breno

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Garza
us

John Garza

“Mowgli”

6-1-0BantamweightUFC

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
-ReachN/A
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
AzTex MMATeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GarzaNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Marcos BrenoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John GarzaMarcos Breno
15001550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (33%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

John Garza60%
Marcos Breno 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 60% favorite over Marcos Breno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

John Garza enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Marcos Breno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Breno 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.