John Garza vs Masanori Kanehara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record29-13-5
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach40.00
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
AzTex MMATeamReversal Gym Tachikawa Alpha
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John GarzaMasanori Kanehara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza81%
Masanori Kanehara 19%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 81% favorite over Masanori Kanehara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Masanori Kanehara's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Masanori Kanehara enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Masanori Kanehara 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.