Combat Edge Intelligence

John Gunderson vs Rolando Bedoya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-16-2Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamChute Boxe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GundersonNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Rolando BedoyaNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.04
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
27%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
59%
Strike defense
53%
1.67
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
11%
Takedown defense
33%
2
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John GundersonRolando Bedoya
16001650170020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
28 (80%)
Submission
3 (21%)
3 (9%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rolando Bedoya70%
John Gunderson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rolando Bedoya a 70% favorite over John Gunderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1622), separated by just 3 points.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

John Gunderson finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.