Combat Edge Intelligence

John Halverson vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John HalversonNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
43%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
48%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
67%
Takedown defense
74%
1.96
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

John HalversonYancy Medeiros
1600201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
5 (31%)
Submission
4 (25%)
1 (6%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yancy Medeiros52%
John Halverson 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yancy Medeiros a 52% favorite over John Halverson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Halverson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1610), separated by just 3 points.

John Halverson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Halverson finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.