John Lineker vs Taylor Lapilus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record25-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John LinekerTaylor Lapilus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Lapilus66%
John Lineker 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 66% favorite over John Lineker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Lineker's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1750), separated by just 0 points.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.